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Assessment of prevailing business conditions, expectations

Manufacturing Group | March 25, 2014

Equipment leasing and finance industry confidence reaches new two-year high; confidence is 65.1, an increase from February’s index of 63.3.

Washington, DC – The Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation (the Foundation) released the March 2014 Monthly Confidence Index for the Equipment Finance Industry (MCI-EFI). Designed to collect leadership data, the index reports a qualitative assessment of both the prevailing business conditions and expectations for the future as reported by key executives from the $827 billion equipment finance sector. Overall, confidence in the equipment finance market is 65.1, the highest index in two years and an increase from the February index of 63.3. The first quarter MCI levels are the three highest since April 2011.

When asked about the outlook for the future, MCI survey respondent Daryn Lecy, VP of operations, Stearns Bank N.A. Equipment Finance Division, said, “Considering we are coming off what are typically slower months and the likelihood that our extra-aggressive winter further impacted new business, we remain optimistic for 2014. We are fortunate to be experiencing year-over-year growth, increasing demand, and overall solid delinquency levels.” 

March 2014 Survey Results:
The overall MCI-EFI is 65.1, an increase from the February index of 63.3.

  • When asked to assess their business conditions over the next four months, 31.4% of executives responding said they believe business conditions will improve over the next four months, up from 21.2% in February. 65.7% of respondents believe business conditions will remain the same over the next four months, down from 72.7% in February. 2.9% believe business conditions will worsen, down from 6.1% who believed so the previous month.
  • 31.4% of survey respondents believe demand for leases and loans to fund capital expenditures (capex) will increase over the next four months, up from 24.2% in February. 62.9% believe demand will “remain the same” during the same four-month time period, down from 69.7% the previous month. 5.7% believe demand will decline, down from 6.1% who believed so in February. 
  • 31.4% of executives expect more access to capital to fund equipment acquisitions over the next four months, unchanged from February. 68.6% of survey respondents indicate they expect the “same” access to capital to fund business, up from 65.5% in February. No one expects “less” access to capital, down from 3.1% who expected less access the previous month. 
  • When asked, 40% of the executives reported they expect to hire more employees over the next four months, relatively unchanged from February. 60% expect no change in headcount over the next four months, up from 53% last month. No one expects fewer employees, down from 6.3% who expected fewer employees in February. 
  • 5.7% of the leadership evaluates the current U.S. economy as “excellent,” up from 3% last month. 88.6% of the leadership evaluates the current U.S. economy as “fair,” down from 93.8% last month. 5.7% rate it as “poor,” up from 3% last month.
  • 31.4% of the of survey respondents believe that U.S. economic conditions will get “better” over the next six months, a decrease from 34.4% who believed so in February. 68.6% of survey respondents indicate they believe the U.S. economy will “stay the same” over the next six months, an increase from 59.4% in February. No one believes economic conditions in the U.S. will worsen over the next six months, a decrease from 6.2% last month. 
  • In March, 45.7% of respondents indicate they believe their company will increase spending on business development activities during the next six months, a decrease from 56.3% in February. 54.3% believe there will be “no change” in business development spending, an increase from 43.8% last month. No one believes there will be a decrease in spending, unchanged from last month. 

How may I access the MCI-EFI?
Survey results are posted on the Foundation website, http://www.leasefoundation.org/IndRsrcs/MCI/, included in the Foundation Forecast newsletter and included in press releases. Survey respondent demographics and additional information about the MCI are also available at the link above.

Source: The Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation

 

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